According to @GreeksLive, traders should focus on Thursday’s US August CPI and Initial Jobless Claims along with the ECB deposit facility rate decision as the week’s key macro catalysts ahead of next week’s Fed meeting, where they cite 90% odds of a 25 bp cut and 10% odds of a 50 bp cut, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They highlight Monday’s expected SEC ruling on Bitwise Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF physical redemption requests and note that ETF fund flows carry significant weight during the ongoing crypto price correction, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They also list Tuesday’s US 2025 Nonfarm Payroll Benchmark Change (Initial) at 22:00 on the calendar, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. On derivatives, they report BTC implied volatility across major terms near 35% and ETH around 65% with more pronounced short-term declines, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They add that September typically has weaker liquidity, the correction has lasted over half a month with no sign of ending, and short-term options are a relatively cost-effective bottom-fishing tool, favoring directional calls with limited downside and unlimited upside in current conditions, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025.

According to @rovercrc, Polymarket pricing shows the market-implied probability of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in September has dropped to 57%, based on active prediction market contracts where prices reflect odds (source: Polymarket; @rovercrc). For traders, this 57% benchmark offers a real-time macro gauge to calibrate exposure and hedges in liquidity-sensitive crypto assets such as BTC and ETH around upcoming FOMC communications and data releases (source: Polymarket; @rovercrc).

According to @MilkRoadDaily, today’s cooler inflation print pushed the probability of a September Federal Reserve rate cut to 94.4% (source: @MilkRoadDaily). In this environment, @MilkRoadDaily states that risk assets tend to thrive and Ethereum (ETH) could see a parabolic move (source: @MilkRoadDaily).

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the latest headline PCE inflation rate stands at 2.1%, and the 'supercore' PCE has turned negative for the first time since COVID, signaling softening inflationary pressures. Despite these data points and heightened economic uncertainty, CME FedWatch data shows that market odds for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the upcoming June 18th meeting remain low at just 5% (Source: Stock Talk on Twitter, CME FedWatch). For crypto traders, persistent high rates may dampen risk appetite and limit immediate upside, but signs of cooling inflation could strengthen the narrative for future policy easing, supporting medium-term bullish sentiment in leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, following this morning's data, the probability of the Federal Reserve implementing rate cuts beginning in June 2024 has increased to 61%. However, markets do not anticipate immediate cuts, signaling persistent stagflation risks and heightened uncertainty over the Fed's policy direction. This macroeconomic ambiguity has led to short-term volatility in major cryptocurrencies, as traders reassess risk exposure and await further signals from the Fed’s dual mandate. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, April 30, 2025.